The horse to bet on is the one more likely to win than most people expect. That’s the one that gives you the best odds. That’s the bet that pays off over time.
Category: Notes
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The Odds, Not The Horse
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Recency Bias
The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist.
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Love The Life You Have
However mean your life is, meet it and live it; do not shun it and call it hard names. Love your life, poor as it is.
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The Spectrum Of Abstraction
Abstraction, for me, is this idea of getting rid of everything that’s not essential to making a point.
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Curiosity Compounds
Investing starts with what you can learn, not what you know. Over and over.
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No Prima Donnas
A good scientist is a person with original ideas. A good engineer is a person who makes a design that works with as few original ideas as possible. There are no prima donnas in engineering.
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The Great Illusion
If you want to get wealthy in the financial markets, you’ll need to engage in hard and systematic work.
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Retired But Working
I have always preferred the system of retirement where you can’t quite tell, observing from the outside, whether the man is working or retired. A problem in many businesses, particularly the bureaucratic ones, is your employees retire, but they don’t tell you.
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The Product Behind The Products
Making a product is hard, but making a team that can continually make products is even harder. The product I’m most proud of is Apple — and the team I built at Apple.