In the financial markets, there is rarely anything new under the sun, but you can never say you’ve seen it all, and what you thought you would never see can clobber you.
Category: Notes
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Nothing New Under The Sun
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Mind The Cycle
If you don’t follow the pendulum and understand the cycle, then that implies that you always invest as much money as aggressively. That doesn’t make any sense to me. I have been around too long to think that a good investment is always equally good all the time regardless of the climate.
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The Odds, Not The Horse
The horse to bet on is the one more likely to win than most people expect. That’s the one that gives you the best odds. That’s the bet that pays off over time.
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Recency Bias
The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist.
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Love The Life You Have
However mean your life is, meet it and live it; do not shun it and call it hard names. Love your life, poor as it is.
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The Spectrum Of Abstraction
Abstraction, for me, is this idea of getting rid of everything that’s not essential to making a point.
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Curiosity Compounds
Investing starts with what you can learn, not what you know. Over and over.
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No Prima Donnas
A good scientist is a person with original ideas. A good engineer is a person who makes a design that works with as few original ideas as possible. There are no prima donnas in engineering.
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The Great Illusion
If you want to get wealthy in the financial markets, you’ll need to engage in hard and systematic work.