Category: Notes

When an industry is disrupted, people get the unit economics wrong. And the winners are the ones who correctly identify the new unit of value first.

Link

To be a successful investor, you have to have a philosophy and process you believe in and can stick to, even under pressure. Since no approach will allow you to profit from all types of opportunities or in all environments, you have to be willing to not participate in everything that goes up, only the things that fit your approach. To be a disciplined investor, you have to be able to stand by and watch as other people make money in things you passed on.

– Howard Marks

I learn while I think when I write it out. Some of the things I think I think, I find don’t make any sense when I start tying to write them down and explain them to people. You ought to be able to explain why you’re taking the job you’re taking, why you’re making the investment you’re making, or whatever it may be. And if it can’t stand applying pencil to paper, you’d better think it through some more.

– Warren Buffett

We must recognize, however, that intrinsic value is an elusive concept. In general terms it is understood to be that value which is justified by the facts, e.g. the assets, earnings, dividends, definite prospects, as distinct, let us say, from market quotations established by artificial manipulation or distorted by psychological excesses. But it is a great mistake to imagine that intrinsic value is as definite and as determinable as is the market price.

– Benjamin Graham, Security Analysis

It will be necessary to resist the tendency to render easy that which cannot become easy without being distorted.

– Antonio Gramsci

Only when nobody knows anything does a creative industry bet on its creators. Golden ages come to an end when everybody knows something.

Link

It is easy to confuse the capability to make precise forecasts with the ability to make accurate ones.

– Seth Klarman

The minute you start using fancy technology, there are so many steps from the raw data to the conclusion that there is plenty of scope for unintended massaging of the data. Methodology is important but your research should be concept driven – not methodology driven. Lastly, using sophisticated techniques (especially if computers are involved) lulls you into a false sense of thinking you have done something “scientific”. The use of hi-tech is – to quote Peter Medawar – seen, unfortunately, as a sign of intellectual manhood.

– VS Ramachandran

All you had to do to make money in the crisis – was have money to spend and the nerve to spend to it. You didn’t need caution, conservatism, risk control, patience selectivity, discipline, any of those things. All you needed was money and nerve. But not all the time, because sometime money and nerve will get you killed. One of the keys to investing is to know which is which.

– Howard Marks