There are two things I would never say when referring to the market: “get out” and “it’s time.” I’m not that smart, and I’m never that sure. The media like to hear people say “get in” or “get out,” but most of the time the correct action is somewhere in between. Investing is not black or white, in or out, risky or safe. The key word is “calibrate.” The amount you have invested, your allocation of capital among the various possibilities, and the riskiness of the things you own all should be calibrated along a continuum that runs from aggressive to defensive.
Discipline Brings Freedom
Only the disciplined ones in life are free. If you are undisciplined, you are a slave to your moods and your passions.
Taking Advantage Of Wild Things
We generally believe you can just see anything in markets. I mean, it’s just extraordinary what happens in markets over time. It gets sorted out eventually, but we have seen companies sell for tens of billion dollars that are worthless. And at times, we have seen things sell for…literally 20 percent or 25 percent of what they were worth. So we have seen and will continue to see everything. It’s just the nature of markets. They produce wild, wild things over time. And the trick is, occasionally, to take advantage of one of those wild things and not to get carried away when other wild things happen because the wild things create their own truth for a while.
Attack A Problem While It’s Solvable
If you won’t attack a problem while it’s solvable and wait until it’s unfixable, you can argue that you’re so damn foolish that you deserve the problem.
The Paradox Of Historical Knowledge
Knowledge that does not change behaviour is useless. But knowledge that changes behaviour quickly loses its relevance. The more data we have and the better we understand history, the faster history alters its course, and the faster our knowledge becomes outdated.
– Yuval Noah Harari
Prepared To Act
Experience tends to confirm a long-held notion that being prepared, on a few occasions in a lifetime, to act promptly in scale, in doing some simple and logical thing, will often dramatically improve the financial results of that lifetime. A few major opportunities, clearly recognizable as such, will usually come to one who continuously searches and waits, with a curious mind that loves diagnosis involving multiple variables. And then all that is required is a willingness to bet heavily when the odds are extremely favorable, using resources available as a result of prudence and patience in the past.
Individual Commitment To A Group Effort
Individual commitment to a group effort-that is what makes a team work, a company work, a society work, a civilization work.
Risk and Uncertainty
The practical difference between risk and uncertainty is that in the former the distribution of the outcome in a group of instances is known, while in the case of uncertainty, this is not true because the situation dealt with is in high degree unique.
Training Hard
Under pressure you don’t rise to the occasion, you sink to the level of your training. That’s why we train so hard.